October 14th, 2011 - Issue #605

In This Issue

1. Where do I look and when do I pay attention? by Justin Smith
2. U.S. T-Bond Futures Bulls Fade
3. Economic Calendar

1. Where Do I Look and When Do I Pay Attention?

by Justin Smith, a Cannon Trading broker

Every trader has done it. You've done it, your friends have done it, even your broker has done it at one point early in their career.

Here’s the scenario:

You've finally finished your futures education at Cannon Trading Company. You've done you're homework on stops, limits, indicators and price movements for the market you're trading. You're ready to go, you enter your limit order and you wait.

**DING**

You get filled. Your heart rate picks up, a wry smile crosses your face and you begin to imagine the possibilities of the one trade you're in: How much can I make? How much can I lose before it's too much? You’ve waited through months of technical trading and deep meditation to get here, and now it’s finally paying off with one of your first trades in the live market. Sayonara paper trading; aloha live futures.

Then, all of a sudden, the top of the hour hits and the market starts acting up. It's getting more volatile and more volatile; it’s picking up speed and taking an unforgiving turn against you. You can’t think straight, all you can think about is your losing position that could get worse and worse as the seconds go by. You race to put in a stop order, but you finally have to settle for a market order just to stop the bleeding. You stare.

**DING**

You’re out of the market. What the hell just happened? You stare at the screen; did your indicators lie to you? Is your system faulty? Did you not listen to your broker? Well, probably not. But you're down several handles, you’ve lost some money and your pride is aching...

Disclaimer:

Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current futures market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

2. U.S. T-Bond Futures Bulls Fade

by Jim Wyckoff

Click the image to enlarge

December U.S. Treasury bond futures prices on Friday hit a fresh six-week low as the bulls have recently faded. See on the daily chart that the shorter-term moving averages I follow (9- and 18-day) have just produced a bearish line crossover signal, whereby the 9-day crossed below the 18-day moving average--the first bearish line crossover for these two moving averages since July. The T-Bond bears have gained some fresh downside near-term technical momentum recently. However, the bulls do still possess the overall technical advantage. See the solid technical support and resistance levels on the chart.

3. Economic Calendar

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!