Nov. 2, 2012 - Issue #659

In This Issue

1. Trader's Resource Corner - CME Letter: Rebuilding Confidence Through Safer Markets
2. Hot Market Review - Stock Index Futures
3. Economic Calendar

1. Traders Resource Corner - Letter from CME President regarding rebuilding confidence through safer markets

CME Group

Terrence A. Duffy
Executive Chairman & President

10/30/2012


Today CME Group Executive Chairman and President Terry Duffy published a Futures Magazine article regarding rebuilding confidence through safer markets - one year after the failure of MF Global. As Terry says in this article, CME Group recognizes that our market participants need, expect and deserve a marketplace they can rely on for price discovery and risk management across all asset classes. Restoring confidence and protecting customers when using our markets are essential. A year later, we are a better industry and our customers are safer than before.

In addition to the piece below, updates on MF Global are available at www.cmegroup.com/mfglobal.



A year after MF Global failure, customers safer than before collapse
Futures Magazine
BY TERRENCE A. DUFFY
OCTOBER 30, 2012

For more than 160 years, no customer had ever lost a penny as the result of default by a futures industry clearing member. MF Global's failure last October, followed by fraud at PFGBest nine months later, shattered this uninterrupted legacy of trust in our industry. It was a sharp wake-up call for those of us - in both the private and public sectors - whose most important job is to keep our markets safe and secure. Prior to these events, we operated under the unchallenged assumption that firms would not break rules and regulations to misuse customer funds. The segregation of customer funds had been sacrosanct since the 1800s. One transgression would have been unacceptable, and yet in the last year we saw this happen twice. Our market participants need, expect and deserve a marketplace they can rely on for price discovery and risk management across all asset classes. Restoring confidence and protecting customers when using our markets are essential.

Our collective marketplace is too important to the fabric of the world economy to allow these issues to fester. That is why our industry took decisive action. We are demanding even more transparency and more accountability. As a result, a year later we are a better industry and our customers are safer than before.

New Requirements Enhance Safety
CME Group worked with the National Futures Association, the Commodities Futures Trading Commission and others to adopt and employ several new requirements designed to deter misuse of any customer funds - futures or cleared over-the-counter derivatives. Among other things, the requirements include:

  • Stepped-up surprise reviews of customer segregated funds that have led to nearly 50 "spot reviews" since May 1.
  • Daily segregation reporting by all futures commission merchants since May 1, resulting in over 10,000 daily customer computations to date at CME alone.
  • More than 500 submissions since July 1 detailing how each firm is investing its segregated customer funds.
  • The "Corzine rule" which holds CEOs and CFOs accountable for disbursements of more than 25% of excess segregated funds held at the firm level.
  • Electronic account balance confirmations and, still to come, new rules providing CME and NFA direct, real-time online access to firms' customer segregated fund balances at any time.

The bankruptcy process of returning customer property can never move fast enough for those who, through no fault of their own, are unable to operate their businesses. But, progress has been made. As an industry leader and provider of the broadest range of benchmark futures and options contracts, CME Group guaranteed $550 million to the MF Global trustee. This helped to accelerate the distribution of customer funds in the early days of the bankruptcy. CME Trust has pledged $50 million of its assets to cover our customers' losses that remain after the Trustee's distribution process is completed. In addition, we created a $100 million fund to provide further protection for U.S. family farmers, family ranchers and their cooperatives that hedge their business in our futures markets. This is particularly important since our nation's food producers were so hard hit by the [MF Global and PFG] failures. And, next month, CME Group will begin the process of paying over $2 million in benefits to nearly 200 farmers, ranchers and cooperatives that used CME Group markets and suffered losses in the failure of PFG.

More Improvements to Come
This week, during an anniversary none of us ever wished for, almost 4,000 futures industry participants will gather in Chicago for one of the industry's important annual conferences. We will continue to work together as an industry to learn from the past year. But the more important work is forward-looking. Regulators and the industry must carefully weigh the benefits of even the most far-reaching proposals that could enhance protection for customers' segregated funds - and we will.

For in the end, that's the most important element. We must continue to take responsible action to restore confidence in the derivatives markets that so many rely on for their risk-management needs - and that a global economy depends on for growth.

Terrence A. Duffy is executive chairman and president of CME Group.

Copyright ® 2012 CME Group. All rights reserved.
CME Group is the trademark of CME Group, Inc.
The Globe logo, Globex® and CME® are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc.
CBOT® is the trademark of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago.
NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange, and CME ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange. Inc.
COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc.

2. Hot Market Review: Stock Index Futures

From our friend Jim Wyckoff

im has an excellent daily newsletter where he reviews different markets, alerts you for potential trades and much more. Included is his great bi-weekly newsletter with charts and a little longer term outlook. We recommend checking out his website, educational CDROM, and services at www.jimwyckoff.com

click on image below to enlarge

The U.S. stock index bulls have faded recently and prices have hit multi-month lows. See on the daily bar chart for the e-mini S&P futures that an uptrend line was negated a while back as prices dropped sharply from the fall highs. Prices have now moved into a pause mode, depicted by the choppy and sideways trading action on the daily chart. This pause is not bullish and suggests the bears are just biding their time for the next push lower. It would take a move in S&P prices above the solid technical resistance level seen on the chart to provide the bulls with fresh upside near-term technical momentum. Remember what I said several weeks ago: The fact that the stock indexes showed good strength during the historically bearish months of September and October hints that the stock indexes could show weakness in November and December, when the historically bullish "Santa Claus" rallies have occurred.

3. Economic Calendar

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

Date Reports Expiration & Notice Dates
11/05
Mon
9:00 AM CST - ISM Services(Oct)  
11/06
Tues
ELECTION DAY  
11/07
Wed
6:00 AM CST - MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
7:30 AM CST - Dairy Products Prices
9:30 AM CST - API & DOE Energy Stats
2:00 PM CST - Consumer Credit(Sep)
 
11/08
Thurs
7:30 AM CST - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CST - Initial Claims-Weekly
7:30 AM CST - Trade Balance(Sep)
9:30 AM CST - EIA Gas Storage
3:30 PM CST - Money Supply
 
11/09
Fri
7:30 AM CST - WASDE Report & Crop Production
7:30 AM CST - Export & Import Sales(Oct)
8:55 AM CST - Mich Sentiment(Nov)
9:00 AM CST - Wholesale Inventories(Sep)
LT: Nov Orange Juice(ICE)
Nov Canadian Dollar Options(CME)
Nov Currencies Options(CME)
Nov US Dollar Index Options(ICE)
Dec Cotton Options(NYM)
Dec Coffee Options(ICE)
11/12
Mon
VETERANS DAY(OBSERVED)  

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!