October 5th, 2011 - Issue #604

In This Issue

1. Gold Hot Market Report by Jim Wyckoff
2. Mental Risk Management
3. Open Squawk Box Trial
4. Economic Calendar

1. Gold Hot Market Report by Jim Wyckoff

Gold Market Bears Have Some Downside Technical Momentum

Click the image to enlarge

December gold futures prices Tuesday scored a bearish "outside day" down on the daily bar chart, whereby the high was higher and low was lower than the previous day's trading range. Gold market bears have gained the near-term technical advantage. A bearish pennant pattern has formed on the daily bar chart. Prices are also still in a four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside technical objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $1,705.40. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is closing prices below strong technical support at the September low of $1,535.00.

2. Mental Risk Management

by Marc from TradingEmini.com

"When you learn what not to do in order not to loose, only then can you begin to learn what to do in order to win"— Edwin Lefevre, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

1. Managing Position Size

Size envy can make traders take larger positions than they should. Most people can't walk straight into a gym and bench press 300lbs. Traders must build up financial capacity, technical skills and emotional development, judging progress against their own levels not others.

2. Dreaming of a Big Win

This is the earmark of a beginner. The key to success is consistency, steadily achieving profits with a simple sound process and using runners to catch the larger moves or position trade with a separate broker account. A successful athlete focuses on the steps to achieve results not the results.

3. Vengeance Trading

Vengeance trading is when a trader takes a hit and wants to get even with the market risking financial, emotional capital. The angry trader wants revenge, to prove they were right, so they stubbornly enter in the same direction as the loosing trade, focusing on where the trade did not go, rather than where another trade could go in a market which is always impersonal and never wrong.

4. Boredom

The mind will go to great lengths to avoid boredom. A Gamblers Anonymous maxim holds that gambling, or overtrading, is a sign of boredom, so recognize when you are becoming bored and dismiss it as a false emotional trigger.

5. The Averaging Down Sin

Averaging down is adding to a looser, with the hope that it will turn around, without regard for the reality of what your charts are telling you. Never average down, you are stubbornly refusing to admit you are wrong.

6. Are you Trading Intelligently or Gambling

Successful traders trigger when the odds are favourable. Gamblers trigger on hope. A gambler can't explain why they won other than they had a "gut feeling". They trade for excitement, with no plan or discipline, unwilling to accept reality, believing they can have good things without effort.

The Gamblers Anonymous 12-steps can help control loses. For example, "Make a searching and fearless moral and financial inventory of ourselves." Know why you want to be a trader, what you expect to get out of it and whether you really have the right support and financial basis to trade.

"Admit to ourselves and to another human being the exact nature of our wrongs." Keep an honest trading journal and have an accountability group, be it other traders, friends or family.

"Continue to take a personal inventory, and when we are wrong, promptly admit it." When in a bad trade admit it and get out. You must take personal responsibility for your actions and not blame others or "The market".

Trading can be enjoyable and social, gambling is lonely and heartbreaking, The Recovery Book sums it up in one sentence: "To gamble risking progressive deterioration OR Not to gamble and develop a better way of life."

Disclaimer:

Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current futures market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

3. S&P Pit Talk Squawk Traders Audio

Free Trial

Traders Audio

Trials are always closed on the week of Unemployment numbers, but we have decided to offer open access to the broadcasts this week. This will be a one time opportunity for trials to have access during the announcements.

Please take advantage of it and forward along the login information to anyone who may find it useful.

Listen to a sample: Sample S&P Pit Audio

The trial is open this week and will be available until market close on Oct.7th so visit: traderaudio.com to start listening now:

Traders Audio

Username: open

Password: squawk

4. Economic Calendar

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!