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July Futures Forecast

New: Over 150 Futures Trading Systems

Economic Reports and Expiration Notices

July 8th, 2009 - Issue #488

July Futures Forecast

The New Normal

by Trade the News

As we head into the heart of the summer, markets seem to be taking a breather, with lighter trading volume, stocks and commodities holding onto recent gains (including the best quarterly gains in the stock market in 20 years), treasury yields edging off of recent highs, and currency trading bands tightening up. Volatility, though still historically elevated, is markedly lower than the historic levels seen just a few months ago when a global melt down seemed a real possibility, as was symbolized by frequent 500 point swings in the DJIA. So with financial Armageddon averted, the slower summer months will be a time to reflect and reevaluate portfolios and forecasts for the year. The "New Normal" scenario, as posited by PIMCO's Mohamed El-Erian, featuring slower economic growth, higher unemployment and savings rates, protracted and potentially overzealous government intervention and re-regulation, and eventual inflation, may be the organizing principle for years to come.

The New Earnings Season

Earnings season fires up again in July, and many bullish analysts are looking for better than consensus earnings to provide the fuel for the next leg up in the stock market...continued...

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Economic Reports and Expiration Notices

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

Date Reports Expiration & Notice Dates
07/09
Thu
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CDT - Initial Claims-Weekly
9:00 AM CDT - Wholesale Inventories(May)
9:35 AM CDT - EIA Gas Storage
3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply
LT: Jul Cotton(NYM)
 
 
 
07/10
Fri
7:30 AM CDT - WASDE Report & Crop Production
7:30 AM CDT - Supply & Demand
7:30 AM CDT - Export & Import Prices(Jun)
7:30 AM CDT - Trade Balance(May)
8:55 AM CDT - Mich Sentiment-Prel(Jul)
LT: Jul Eurodollar Options(CME)
Jul US T-Bill Options(CBT)
Aug Coffee Options(ICE)
07/13
Mon
1:00 PM CDT - Treasury Budget(Jun)
 
 
 
LT: Jul LIBOR(CME)
Jul Orange Juice(ICE)
Jul US T-Bill(CBT)
Jul LIBOR Options(CME)
07/14
Tue
7:30 AM CDT - NOPA Crush
7:30 AM CDT - Core PPI & PPI(Jun)
7:30 AM CDT - Retail Sales(Jun)
 
LT: Jul Barley(CBT)
Jul Corn(CBT)
Jul Wheat(CBT)
Jul Oats(CBT)
Jul Rough Rice(CBT)
Jul Soybeans(CBT)
Jul Soymeal(CBT)
Jul Soyoil(CBT)


07/15
Wed
7:30 AM CDT - Core CPI & CPI(Jun)
8:15 AM CDT - Capacity Util & Industrial Prod
9:00 AM CDT - Business Inventories(May)
9:35 AM CDT - API & DOE Energy Stats
LT: Jul Lean Hogs(CME)
Jul Lumber(CME)
Jul Lean Hogs Options(CME)
Aug Platinum Options(CMX)
07/16
Thu
7:30 AM CDT - Initial Claims-Weekly
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales
9:00 AM CDT - Philadelphia Fed(Jul)
9:35 AM CDT - EIA Gas Storage
3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply
FN: Jul Lumber(CME)
LT: Jul Cocoa(ICE)
Aug Crude Oil Lt Options(NYM)

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!